Segunda B - Play Offs Ascenso Semifinal
Análisis Real Jaén vs Ponferradina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.6%
Empate
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
RJA
5 - 0
LEG
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 2
RJA
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
23%
29%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
RJA
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
PON
3 - 1
POL
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
POL
0 - 0
PON
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
RSO
1 - 3
PON
28%
29%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
PON
1 - 1
SES
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |