Análisis Real Jaén vs Real Murcia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.85
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1954 |
CAT
3 - 2
RJA
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 jun. 1954 |
BAR
3 - 2
RJA
54%
20%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 1954 |
RJA
0 - 1
HER
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 jun. 1954 |
RJA
4 - 3
LLE
79%
12%
9%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 jun. 1954 |
OSA
8 - 4
RJA
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1954 |
MUR
3 - 0
UDE
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 3
HER
56%
21%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
MUR
73%
16%
12%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1954 |
MAL
5 - 0
MUR
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDE
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |