Análisis Real Jaén vs Real Murcia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.23
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 1960 |
LEV
2 - 1
RJA
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1960 |
RJA
0 - 3
CEU
72%
17%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 1960 |
EXT
2 - 1
RJA
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1960 |
RJA
4 - 0
HER
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1960 |
EXT
3 - 0
RJA
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 1960 |
MUR
4 - 0
MAL
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1960 |
CAD
2 - 1
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 1960 |
MUR
2 - 3
PUL
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 1960 |
CDT
3 - 2
MUR
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1960 |
MUR
1 - 0
VCF
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +1 |