Segunda División Jor. 16

Análisis Real Jaén vs RM Castilla

Real Jaén RM Castilla
67 ELO 69
-11.7% Tilt -21%
4934º Ranking ELO general 1495º
171º Ranking ELO país 56º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
38.3%
Real Jaén
27.6%
Empate
34.1%
RM Castilla

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.24
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.1%
Win probability
RM Castilla
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO50.753.556.35961.864.667.370.172.975.778.481.28486.789.592.3-21.5%-19.4%-17.3%-15.2%-13.1%-11%-8.9%-6.8%-4.7%-2.6%-0.4%1.7%3.8%5.9%8%10.1%12.2%14.3%16.4%18.5%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Real Jaén
-18%
+18%
RM Castilla

Progresión del ELO

61º63º65º67º69º71º73ºJan .13Apr .13Jul .13Oct .13
Real Jaén
RM Castilla
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 nov. 2013
CDT
Tenerife
2 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
46%
28%
26%
68 65 3 0
16 nov. 2013
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
19%
26%
56%
66 80 14 +2
09 nov. 2013
FCB
Barça Atlètic
0 - 3
Real Jaén
RJA
69%
19%
12%
65 71 6 +1
03 nov. 2013
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 2
Mirandés
MIR
40%
30%
30%
66 70 4 -1
27 oct. 2013
HER
Hércules
0 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
63%
23%
14%
65 70 5 +1

Partidos

RM Castilla
RM Castilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 nov. 2013
RMC
RM Castilla
0 - 0
Numancia
NUM
47%
24%
29%
68 73 5 0
17 nov. 2013
EIB
Eibar
6 - 0
RM Castilla
RMC
38%
28%
35%
69 67 2 -1
10 nov. 2013
RMC
RM Castilla
1 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
61%
21%
18%
69 67 2 0
03 nov. 2013
DEP
RC Deportivo
2 - 0
RM Castilla
RMC
64%
22%
14%
69 81 12 0
27 oct. 2013
RMC
RM Castilla
1 - 1
Ponferradina
PON
52%
24%
25%
69 73 4 0