Análisis Real Madrid vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.43
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.8%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1954 |
RSO
3 - 6
RMA
43%
23%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1954 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
71%
16%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1954 |
FCB
5 - 1
RMA
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1954 |
RMA
1 - 0
SEV
72%
16%
13%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1954 |
DEP
2 - 2
RMA
29%
24%
47%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 1954 |
RJA
3 - 1
VCF
31%
23%
46%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1954 |
CEL
0 - 0
RJA
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1954 |
RJA
6 - 1
SPO
51%
21%
28%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 feb. 1954 |
VAD
3 - 0
RJA
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 1954 |
RJA
3 - 0
ESP
42%
23%
35%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +2 |