Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 5-1
Análisis Real Madrid vs Real Murcia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
88.2%
Probabilidad gana
3.14
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
8.6%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2010 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATM
80%
13%
7%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2010 |
ACM
2 - 2
RMA
30%
25%
45%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 3
RMA
13%
21%
66%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
RMA
13%
22%
66%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2010 |
RMA
6 - 1
RAC
87%
9%
4%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2010 |
AGD
2 - 1
MUR
22%
27%
52%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 0
POL
63%
24%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
RMA
13%
22%
66%
|
71 | 94 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 oct. 2010 |
BET
1 - 1
MUR
19%
26%
55%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 0
EST
78%
16%
6%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |