Análisis Real Murcia vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
10.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 1968 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1968 |
MUR
4 - 0
MLL
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 ene. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 dic. 1967 |
CAD
1 - 0
MUR
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 dic. 1967 |
MUR
3 - 1
LEV
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 1968 |
RJA
0 - 0
GRA
30%
30%
40%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1968 |
CON
1 - 1
RJA
62%
21%
16%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 1968 |
RJA
0 - 2
CEU
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 ene. 1968 |
REC
0 - 0
RJA
61%
22%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 dic. 1967 |
RJA
2 - 0
XER
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |