Análisis Real Murcia vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.44
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.2%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 1971 |
BAL
1 - 0
MUR
25%
29%
47%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1971 |
MUR
2 - 0
CDB
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 1971 |
ADL
0 - 3
MUR
28%
31%
42%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 1971 |
MUR
0 - 1
MLL
45%
24%
32%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 ene. 1971 |
MUR
1 - 0
REC
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 1971 |
RJA
4 - 0
JOV
56%
26%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1971 |
MER
2 - 0
RJA
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 1971 |
RJA
1 - 0
MEL
57%
25%
19%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 1971 |
GRA
1 - 1
RJA
46%
28%
26%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 1971 |
POR
0 - 1
RJA
57%
25%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |