Análisis Real Murcia vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
19.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2014 |
NUM
1 - 0
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 0
EIB
48%
27%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 1
MUR
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
DEP
25%
26%
48%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2014 |
RJA
0 - 1
SAB
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2014 |
CCF
0 - 0
RJA
56%
26%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 0
UDL
30%
28%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 1
RJA
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2014 |
RJA
0 - 0
LUG
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |