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Copa Simón Bolívar. 1/16

Global 4-4. Ida 3-1

Análisis Real Tomayapo vs Fancesa

Real Tomayapo Fancesa
36 ELO 34
79% Tilt 53%
3893º Ranking ELO general 18817º
16º Ranking ELO país 35º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
59.9%
Real Tomayapo
18.6%
Empate
21.4%
Fancesa

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
59.9%
Probabilidad gana
Real Tomayapo
2.48
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.4%
Probabilidad gana
Fancesa
1.45
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%