Copa del Rey Octavos
Global 4-3
Análisis Real Zaragoza vs Athletic
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
40.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
38.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.91
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 1952 |
ATH
3 - 0
ZAR
90%
7%
4%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1952 |
UDL
4 - 2
ZAR
53%
21%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 1952 |
ZAR
3 - 0
SEV
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 1952 |
RAC
2 - 2
ZAR
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1952 |
ZAR
3 - 2
CEL
47%
21%
32%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
Partidos
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 1952 |
ATH
3 - 0
ZAR
90%
7%
4%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1952 |
ATH
4 - 1
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 1952 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATH
37%
23%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1952 |
ATH
2 - 0
VCF
69%
15%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1952 |
ATM
1 - 2
ATH
69%
15%
15%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |