Análisis RM Castilla vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.6
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
10%
Empate
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10%
7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 1979 |
VAD
1 - 3
RMC
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1979 |
RMC
0 - 0
RAC
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1979 |
OVI
1 - 0
RMC
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1979 |
RMC
6 - 1
EXT
92%
6%
2%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1979 |
RMC
1 - 1
ELC
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 1979 |
ALC
4 - 3
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1979 |
CPC
6 - 1
ALC
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 nov. 1979 |
ALC
3 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 oct. 1979 |
CIE
2 - 0
ALC
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 oct. 1979 |
NUM
1 - 2
ALC
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |