Coppa Italia Final
Global 3-6
Análisis Roma vs Milan
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
ROM
33%
26%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2003 |
ROM
3 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2003 |
REG
2 - 3
ROM
20%
26%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2003 |
ROM
2 - 1
ACM
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 1
BOL
66%
21%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2003 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
53%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 0
ACM
30%
28%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2003 |
ACM
0 - 0
INT
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |