Análisis San Marcos Arica vs Real San Joaquín
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jul. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIM
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 jun. 2022 |
IBE
1 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2022 |
GVE
1 - 0
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jul. 2022 |
JOA
2 - 1
GVE
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 0
JOA
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 jun. 2022 |
JOA
1 - 2
ROD
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 jun. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 2
JOA
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 may. 2022 |
JOA
2 - 4
LIM
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |