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Paraense Final. Jornada 1

Análisis São Francisco PA vs Paysandu

São Francisco PA Paysandu
24 ELO 43
41% Tilt 38%
18684º Ranking ELO general 2630º
488º Ranking ELO país 180º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
40.5%
São Francisco PA
22.8%
Empate
36.7%
Paysandu

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
40.5%
Probabilidad gana
São Francisco PA
1.72
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
36.7%
Probabilidad gana
Paysandu
1.63
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Pronóstico de puntos y clasificación

Clasificación actual Expectativas finales
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Paysandu
15
15
50%
Paragominas
15
15
50%
Remo
12
12
100%
Tuna Luso
10
10
50%
Santa Cruz PA
10
10
50%
Cametá
7
7
100%
Aguia de Maraba
5
5
100%
São Francisco PA
4
4
100%
Probabilidades expectativas
São Francisco PA
Paysandu
Zona tranquila
100% 100%

Progresión del ELO

Paysandu
PAY
São Francisco PA
FRA
Paragominas
PAR
Santa Cruz PA
SCP
Remo
REM
Aguia de Maraba
AGU
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

São Francisco PA
São Francisco PA
1%
X%
2%
ELO FRA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 feb. 2013
PAY
Paysandu
6 - 1
São Francisco PA
FRA
55%
24%
21%
309 688 379 -1
14 feb. 2013
FRA
São Francisco PA
0 - 2
Paysandu
PAY
38%
28%
35%
306 679 -373 -1
08 feb. 2013
CAM
Cametá
3 - 1
São Francisco PA
FRA
47%
27%
26%
307 361 54 -1
05 feb. 2013
REM
Remo
2 - 2
São Francisco PA
FRA
47%
27%
26%
303 398 95 0
31 ene. 2013
FRA
São Francisco PA
3 - 0
Tuna Luso
TUN
36%
27%
37%
297 766 -469 +1

Partidos

Paysandu
Paysandu
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 mar. 2013
REM
Remo
1 - 2
Paysandu
PAY
39%
27%
34%
689 411 -278 +1
24 feb. 2013
PAY
Paysandu
1 - 1
Remo
REM
52%
26%
22%
685 403 282 0
16 feb. 2013
PAY
Paysandu
6 - 1
São Francisco PA
FRA
55%
24%
21%
684 305 379 +1
14 feb. 2013
FRA
São Francisco PA
0 - 2
Paysandu
PAY
38%
28%
35%
683 310 -373 +1
08 feb. 2013
PAY
Paysandu
3 - 1
Santa Cruz PA
SCP
44%
27%
29%
678 814 -136 +1