Copa Libertadores . Cuartos
Global 1-1
Análisis São Paulo vs Estudiantes La Plata
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
74.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.22
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 jul. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAO
21%
24%
56%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2006 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAO
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2006 |
LAN
1 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 may. 2006 |
EST
1 - 1
CEN
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2006 |
GOI
3 - 1
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2006 |
BOC
4 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |