Copa Brasil 1/16
Global 4-2
Análisis São Paulo vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 2025 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2025 |
LIB
0 - 2
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 2
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRZ
49%
27%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2025 |
CSA
2 - 1
NAU
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2025 |
NAU
0 - 0
BOT
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2025 |
ITA
2 - 1
NAU
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2025 |
NAU
1 - 0
ARN
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2025 |
VIT
0 - 2
NAU
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +2 |