Análisis Atl. Nacional vs Herrera FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
44.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.45
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 2
SMA
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2019 |
SUN
2 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 nov. 2018 |
FIV
1 - 2
NAC
6%
13%
81%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 2018 |
PDI
0 - 1
NAC
6%
13%
81%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
Partidos
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 2019 |
AZU
1 - 1
OES
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 1
AZU
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
AZU
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 nov. 2018 |
COL
2 - 0
AZU
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 oct. 2018 |
AIC
1 - 1
AZU
6%
13%
81%
|
52 | 13 | 39 | 0 |