Análisis Argentina vs Brasil
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
49.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 1979 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
71%
17%
13%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARG
32%
27%
42%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 jun. 1979 |
ARG
1 - 2
FIF
88%
9%
3%
|
91 | 12 | 79 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 1979 |
SCO
1 - 3
ARG
39%
28%
33%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ago. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOL
84%
10%
6%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
71%
17%
13%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
BRA
27%
26%
47%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 may. 1979 |
BRA
5 - 1
URU
83%
14%
4%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1979 |
BRA
6 - 0
PAR
82%
14%
4%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |