Copa América Final
Global 1-3
Análisis Brasil vs Uruguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
80.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.55
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.5%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6%
Probabilidad gana
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 1983 |
URU
2 - 0
BRA
23%
28%
49%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1983 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 1
BRA
21%
28%
51%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1983 |
BRA
0 - 0
ARG
69%
18%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 1983 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 63 | 32 | +1 |
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 1983 |
URU
2 - 0
BRA
23%
28%
49%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1983 |
URU
1 - 1
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1983 |
PER
0 - 1
URU
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1983 |
ISR
2 - 2
URU
47%
29%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1983 |
SCO
2 - 0
URU
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |