Análisis Ecuador vs Chile
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.99
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 1
DDR
9%
19%
73%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 1972 |
ECU
1 - 1
IRN
41%
22%
37%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 jun. 1972 |
IRL
3 - 2
ECU
74%
15%
12%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 jun. 1972 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 1972 |
POR
3 - 0
ECU
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 1
CHI
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1972 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 1972 |
CHI
0 - 2
MEX
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 jun. 1972 |
CHI
2 - 1
IRN
69%
17%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 jun. 1972 |
IRL
1 - 2
CHI
38%
23%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |