Análisis España vs Portugal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.98
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.5%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 jun. 1949 |
FRA
1 - 5
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 4
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 3
ITA
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 1949 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 0
POR
49%
20%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 may. 1949 |
POR
3 - 2
WAL
55%
19%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 1949 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1949 |
ITA
4 - 1
POR
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1948 |
POR
2 - 0
IRL
56%
19%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |