Análisis Japón vs Hong Kong
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.96
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.4%
3-0
16%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
8.4%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.34
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Japón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 2003 |
JPN
2 - 0
CHN
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
CMR
60%
23%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2003 |
ROU
1 - 1
JPN
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 1
JPN
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 1
SEN
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 dic. 2003 |
HKG
1 - 3
KOR
2%
10%
88%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 1
TJK
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 1
UZB
8%
15%
77%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 4
THA
8%
15%
77%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 2003 |
HKG
2 - 1
THA
7%
14%
80%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |