Análisis Nigeria vs Ruanda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
86.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.84
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
10%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.42
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 0
JAM
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2004 |
NGA
3 - 0
IRL
30%
28%
42%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 0
JOR
68%
21%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 1
MLI
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 1
NGA
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Ruanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 may. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
UGA
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 0
COD
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 ene. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
GIN
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
RWA
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 ene. 2004 |
EGY
5 - 1
RWA
92%
6%
2%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |