Análisis Perú vs Paraguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
40.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.28
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Perú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2007 |
PER
2 - 0
BOL
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
COL
34%
29%
38%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2007 |
CRI
1 - 1
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 0
PER
88%
10%
2%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 jul. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
PRY
54%
26%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
VEN
3 - 2
PRY
33%
28%
40%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2007 |
PRY
1 - 1
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 2007 |
MEX
6 - 0
PRY
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 jul. 2007 |
ARG
1 - 0
PRY
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |