Análisis Polonia vs Túnez
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.25
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10.1%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jun. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 0
POL
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1978 |
POL
1 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1978 |
POL
3 - 0
IRL
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1978 |
POL
5 - 2
GRC
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1978 |
LUX
1 - 3
POL
12%
16%
72%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
Partidos
Túnez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 jun. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 0
TUN
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1978 |
TUN
0 - 4
NED
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 1978 |
NGA
2 - 0
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 mar. 1978 |
GHA
1 - 0
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |