Análisis Portugal vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 ene. 1947 |
POR
2 - 2
SUI
59%
20%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 jun. 1946 |
POR
3 - 1
IRL
56%
21%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 1946 |
POR
2 - 1
FRA
55%
20%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 may. 1945 |
SUI
1 - 0
POR
61%
19%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 may. 1945 |
ESP
4 - 2
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jun. 1946 |
ESP
0 - 1
IRL
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 may. 1945 |
ESP
4 - 2
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1945 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
40%
23%
37%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1942 |
ITA
4 - 0
ESP
72%
15%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 1942 |
GER
1 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |