AFC Challenge Cup . Semifinal

Análisis Sri Lanka vs Nepal

Sri Lanka Nepal
43 ELO 46
-11.2% Tilt -6.4%
8979º Ranking ELO general 7531º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
38.8%
Sri Lanka
24.6%
Empate
36.6%
Nepal

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
38.7%
Probabilidad gana
Sri Lanka
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.7%
Probabilidad gana
Nepal
1.44
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Sri Lanka
+12%
-19%
Nepal

Progresión del ELO

Sri Lanka
Nepal
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 abr. 2006
LKA
Sri Lanka
3 - 0
China Taipei
TWN
44%
23%
33%
42 40 2 0
06 abr. 2006
LKA
Sri Lanka
1 - 1
Nepal
NPL
41%
25%
35%
42 44 2 0
04 abr. 2006
BTN
Bután
0 - 1
Sri Lanka
LKA
32%
24%
45%
42 32 10 0
02 abr. 2006
LKA
Sri Lanka
1 - 0
Brunéi
BRN
51%
23%
26%
41 37 4 +1
11 dic. 2005
LKA
Sri Lanka
1 - 2
Afganistán
AFG
31%
23%
46%
42 47 5 -1

Partidos

Nepal
Nepal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 abr. 2006
IND
India
0 - 3
Nepal
NPL
62%
23%
16%
44 50 6 0
06 abr. 2006
LKA
Sri Lanka
1 - 1
Nepal
NPL
41%
25%
35%
44 42 2 0
04 abr. 2006
BRN
Brunéi
2 - 1
Nepal
NPL
34%
23%
43%
45 36 9 -1
02 abr. 2006
NPL
Nepal
2 - 0
Bután
BTN
75%
15%
10%
45 32 13 0
12 dic. 2005
NPL
Nepal
3 - 1
Bután
BTN
74%
15%
11%
45 33 12 0
X