Análisis URSS vs Países Bajos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 1990 |
USA
1 - 3
SUN
16%
28%
56%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1990 |
CRC
1 - 2
SUN
23%
30%
47%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1990 |
COL
0 - 0
SUN
21%
29%
49%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1989 |
SUN
2 - 0
TUR
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1989 |
DDR
2 - 1
SUN
34%
29%
37%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Países Bajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1990 |
NED
0 - 0
ITA
49%
28%
23%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1989 |
NED
0 - 1
BRA
34%
28%
38%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1989 |
NED
3 - 0
FIN
80%
15%
5%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1989 |
WAL
1 - 2
NED
29%
29%
42%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1989 |
NED
2 - 2
DEN
62%
24%
15%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |