Copa América Final
Global 3-1
Análisis Uruguay vs Brasil
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
23%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.2%
Empate
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
48.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 1983 |
URU
1 - 1
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1983 |
PER
0 - 1
URU
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1983 |
ISR
2 - 2
URU
47%
29%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1983 |
SCO
2 - 0
URU
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1983 |
VEN
1 - 2
URU
33%
31%
35%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 1983 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 1
BRA
21%
28%
51%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1983 |
BRA
0 - 0
ARG
69%
18%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 1983 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 63 | 32 | +1 |
| 24 ago. 1983 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
36%
28%
36%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |