Análisis Servette vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 0
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1999 |
SER
0 - 1
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 4
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 1999 |
SER
1 - 2
ARI
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1999 |
LUG
3 - 0
SER
30%
26%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 1999 |
FCA
4 - 2
DEL
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1999 |
STG
4 - 1
FCA
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1999 |
FCA
2 - 1
GCZ
24%
25%
52%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 1999 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1999 |
FCA
4 - 1
NEX
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |