Análisis South Hobart vs Northern Rangers
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
69.8%
Probabilidad gana
4.28
Goles esperados
11-0
<0%
12-1
<0%
+11
0.1%
10-0
0.1%
11-1
0.1%
12-2
<0%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.2%
11-2
0.1%
12-3
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.2%
11-3
0.1%
12-4
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.5%
10-3
0.2%
11-4
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
1%
9-3
0.4%
10-4
0.1%
11-5
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
1.9%
8-3
0.8%
9-4
0.2%
10-5
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
3.1%
7-3
1.5%
8-4
0.5%
9-5
0.1%
10-6
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
4.3%
6-3
2.5%
7-4
0.9%
8-5
0.2%
9-6
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
5%
5-3
3.5%
6-4
1.5%
7-5
0.5%
8-6
0.1%
9-7
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
0.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
4.1%
5-4
2.1%
6-5
0.7%
7-6
0.2%
8-7
<0%
+1
15.1%
12.4%
Empate
0-0
0.1%
1-1
1.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
2.5%
5-5
1%
6-6
0.3%
7-7
0.1%
8-8
<0%
0
12.4%
17.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.43
Goles esperados
0-1
0.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
1.2%
5-6
0.4%
6-7
0.1%
7-8
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.5%
5-7
0.1%
6-8
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.2%
5-8
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0.1%
5-9
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
4-9
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
3-9
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+239%
-18%
Pronóstico de puntos y clasificación
| Clasificación actual | Expectativas finales | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Probabilidades expectativas | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Campeón | 0% | 0% |
| Series finales | 100% | 0% |
| Zona tranquila | 0% | 0% |
| Descenso | 0% | 100% |
Progresión del ELO
SOU
NOR
KIN
LAU
DEV
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SOU | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jul. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
DEV
46%
27%
26%
|
355 | 288 | 67 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 3
SOU
41%
28%
31%
|
353 | 287 | -66 | +2 |
| 02 jul. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 3
SOU
41%
28%
31%
|
351 | 234 | -117 | +2 |
| 26 jun. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
HOB
48%
27%
25%
|
352 | 272 | 80 | -1 |
| 18 jun. 2016 |
DEV
2 - 0
SOU
41%
28%
31%
|
354 | 279 | -75 | -2 |
Partidos
Northern Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO NOR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jul. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 6
OLY
46%
27%
28%
|
237 | 285 | -48 | -3 |
| 09 jul. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 5
HOB
46%
27%
28%
|
239 | 275 | -36 | -2 |
| 02 jul. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 1
LAU
48%
27%
25%
|
240 | 153 | 87 | -1 |
| 25 jun. 2016 |
DEV
5 - 0
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
243 | 281 | 38 | -2 |
| 18 jun. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 0
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
245 | 288 | 43 | -2 |