Análisis Thun vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
THU
1 - 3
GCZ
36%
26%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2014 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2014 |
THU
2 - 2
LAU
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2014 |
STG
4 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 1
YOB
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 0
SIO
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2014 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 2014 |
SIO
1 - 2
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |