Copa México - Apertura Jor. 1

Análisis Toluca vs Lobos BUAP

Toluca Lobos BUAP
79 ELO 63
6.5% Tilt -4.4%
260º Ranking ELO general 23397º
Ranking ELO país 189º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
76.7%
Toluca
15.4%
Empate
7.9%
Lobos BUAP

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
76.7%
Probabilidad gana
Toluca
2.41
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.9%
Probabilidad gana
Lobos BUAP
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Toluca
Lobos BUAP
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 jul. 2012
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
56%
25%
20%
79 77 2 0
29 abr. 2012
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
San Luis
SNL
59%
23%
18%
78 73 5 +1
22 abr. 2012
QRO
Querétaro
2 - 2
Toluca
TOL
34%
27%
39%
79 70 9 -1
15 abr. 2012
TOL
Toluca
0 - 3
Cruz Azul
CAZ
46%
26%
29%
80 83 3 -1
08 abr. 2012
PUE
Puebla
2 - 1
Toluca
TOL
40%
27%
32%
80 75 5 0

Partidos

Lobos BUAP
Lobos BUAP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 jul. 2012
NEC
Necaxa
3 - 1
Lobos BUAP
LOB
57%
25%
18%
62 70 8 0
06 may. 2012
LEO
León
4 - 0
Lobos BUAP
LOB
71%
18%
11%
62 71 9 0
02 may. 2012
LOB
Lobos BUAP
3 - 3
León
LEO
29%
26%
46%
62 71 9 0
29 abr. 2012
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 0
Lobos BUAP
LOB
55%
26%
20%
63 69 6 -1
25 abr. 2012
LOB
Lobos BUAP
3 - 0
Necaxa
NEC
35%
29%
36%
62 72 10 +1