Análisis Toluca vs Querétaro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
59.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 2020 |
TIG
2 - 1
TOL
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 2
LEO
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2020 |
NEC
3 - 2
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIJ
52%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2020 |
PUM
1 - 0
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 nov. 2020 |
QRO
2 - 2
TIJ
42%
26%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2020 |
JUA
1 - 0
QRO
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2020 |
QRO
0 - 1
NEC
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 1
QRO
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2020 |
QRO
1 - 2
MON
22%
25%
52%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |