Análisis Tristán Suárez vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 2012 |
PLA
0 - 2
SUA
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 0
DEF
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2012 |
TEM
1 - 1
SUA
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2012 |
SUA
2 - 1
ALM
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 2
SUA
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 3
CHI
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
MOR
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 may. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 3
ACA
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 0
COM
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 1
MOR
48%
28%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |