Análisis UB Conquense vs CD Alcalá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+36%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 2004 |
CDL
0 - 1
UBC
31%
30%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
UBC
2 - 1
LOR
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 0
UBC
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
UBC
2 - 1
TAL
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
CDZ
2 - 1
UBC
26%
29%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 2
DBN
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
JER
22%
26%
53%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 2
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
SEV
22%
29%
50%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | +1 |