Análisis Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.47
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2015 |
MEL
4 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2015 |
COM
3 - 1
CIE
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 2015 |
AYA
4 - 0
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 sep. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
UTC
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPO
60%
25%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 1
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 0
HUA
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 sep. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 1
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAM
54%
25%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |