Análisis Unión Comercio vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.36
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 sep. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
SBO
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
AUR
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 2
GAR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |