Análisis Univ. Concepción vs San Marcos Arica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 1
MAG
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
16%
24%
60%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 jul. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
UCO
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
10%
18%
72%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 jun. 2021 |
IQU
5 - 1
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 3
BAR
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 2
SAN
50%
26%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
DCO
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 jun. 2021 |
IQU
2 - 2
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |