Análisis Univ de Chile vs Univ. Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 2006 |
CSD
1 - 2
UCH
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2006 |
UCH
1 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2005 |
UCH
0 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 0
CSL
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2006 |
COQ
1 - 1
UCO
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2005 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 nov. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |