Análisis Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 1
UNI
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 0
UNI
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
UNI
5 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 abr. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 0
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2008 |
ALI
4 - 1
ATL
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 0
CIE
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |