Análisis Valencia Mestalla vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.85
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 1967 |
HER
3 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1967 |
VAL
3 - 1
MLL
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 1967 |
ALC
1 - 0
VAL
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 1967 |
VAL
4 - 0
CAD
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 nov. 1967 |
LEV
2 - 1
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 1967 |
EUR
4 - 0
RJA
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 1967 |
CAS
1 - 1
RJA
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 1967 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDT
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 nov. 1967 |
RJA
2 - 0
HER
28%
29%
44%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 nov. 1967 |
MLL
3 - 1
RJA
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |