Análisis Valencia Mestalla vs Puzol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.2%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2004 |
PAT
1 - 0
VAL
13%
23%
64%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2004 |
VAL
2 - 2
CPO
82%
13%
6%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 1
VAL
14%
24%
62%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
VAL
3 - 1
ELC
82%
13%
6%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
PEG
0 - 5
VAL
20%
26%
53%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Puzol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2004 |
UDP
1 - 2
TCF
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2004 |
CAT
4 - 0
UDP
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
UDP
1 - 2
ALI
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
ELD
0 - 0
UDP
73%
18%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
UDP
0 - 3
ONT
24%
27%
49%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |