Análisis Real Valladolid vs CD Lugo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2016 |
OSA
1 - 0
VAD
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 2
ZAR
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2016 |
LEG
4 - 0
VAD
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2016 |
MIR
4 - 1
VAD
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
MLL
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2016 |
ELC
2 - 0
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
GIR
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 0
LUG
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
ALB
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |