Análisis Real Valladolid vs Numancia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2011 |
REC
1 - 1
VAD
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
CEL
4 - 1
VAD
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
VAD
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 1
ELC
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 1
VAD
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2011 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALM
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
NUM
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
ELC
2 - 2
NUM
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 2
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |