Análisis Villegas vs Arnedo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-29%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 0
VIL
48%
25%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 5
CLH
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 ene. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
TED
46%
24%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 2
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 3
CDF
17%
23%
60%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARN
74%
17%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 ene. 2015 |
AGO
1 - 0
ARN
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 0
NAX
11%
21%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 dic. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
ARN
89%
9%
3%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |