Análisis Willem II vs Utrecht
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 1999 |
NEC
0 - 3
WIL
43%
25%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 2
SCH
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 dic. 1998 |
PSV
1 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 1998 |
WIL
1 - 0
NEC
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 5
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1999 |
UTR
2 - 2
SCH
37%
24%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 1
UTR
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 2
FEY
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 1998 |
UTR
4 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 dic. 1998 |
AZA
4 - 3
UTR
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |