Análisis Köln vs Arminia Bielefeld
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 1997 |
BYM
3 - 2
KOL
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1997 |
KOL
2 - 5
MSV
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 1997 |
BOC
2 - 2
KOL
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1997 |
KOL
0 - 1
STP
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 1997 |
MON
2 - 1
KOL
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 1997 |
ARB
1 - 1
HSV
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1997 |
BRE
2 - 1
ARB
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 1997 |
ARB
1 - 2
KSC
26%
25%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1997 |
S04
0 - 0
ARB
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1997 |
LEV
1 - 0
ARB
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |