Análisis Köln vs Nürnberg
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.85
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.4%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 1984 |
BYM
4 - 2
KOL
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1984 |
KOL
2 - 2
STU
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1984 |
KOL
1 - 2
MON
58%
20%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 1984 |
BOC
2 - 3
KOL
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 1984 |
KOL
2 - 0
WAL
74%
15%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 1984 |
FCN
1 - 3
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1984 |
BOC
2 - 0
FCN
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1984 |
FCN
0 - 0
WAL
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 1984 |
EBT
1 - 0
FCN
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 feb. 1984 |
FCN
2 - 0
BRE
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +2 |